Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000093 0.000110 0.000128 0.000149 0.000172 0.000196 0.000224
2024-12-29 0.000071 0.000094 0.000119 0.000149 0.000184 0.000223 0.000269
2025-01-05 0.000059 0.000084 0.000113 0.000149 0.000192 0.000241 0.000301
2025-01-12 0.000047 0.000072 0.000103 0.000144 0.000194 0.000252 0.000325
2025-01-19 0.000042 0.000069 0.000103 0.000148 0.000206 0.000274 0.000360
2025-01-26 0.000033 0.000059 0.000094 0.000143 0.000205 0.000281 0.000377
2025-02-02 0.000029 0.000055 0.000092 0.000144 0.000212 0.000296 0.000405
2025-02-09 0.000024 0.000050 0.000088 0.000142 0.000215 0.000307 0.000427
2025-02-16 0.000023 0.000049 0.000089 0.000148 0.000228 0.000329 0.000463
2025-02-23 0.000020 0.000046 0.000087 0.000149 0.000234 0.000344 0.000490
2025-03-02 0.000016 0.000041 0.000081 0.000143 0.000232 0.000347 0.000502
2025-03-09 0.000013 0.000037 0.000077 0.000141 0.000233 0.000355 0.000520
2025-03-16 0.000011 0.000034 0.000074 0.000141 0.000238 0.000368 0.000546
2025-03-23 0.000009 0.000032 0.000073 0.000142 0.000246 0.000385 0.000578
2025-03-30 0.000008 0.000029 0.000070 0.000141 0.000249 0.000396 0.000602
2025-04-06 0.000006 0.000025 0.000065 0.000137 0.000248 0.000401 0.000618
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000024 0.000066 0.000141 0.000258 0.000422 0.000654
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000021 0.000061 0.000136 0.000255 0.000424 0.000666
2025-04-27 0.000003 0.000020 0.000060 0.000136 0.000261 0.000438 0.000694
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000018 0.000057 0.000135 0.000263 0.000448 0.000716
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000018 0.000058 0.000140 0.000276 0.000472 0.000757
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000017 0.000058 0.000141 0.000282 0.000487 0.000787
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000014 0.000053 0.000136 0.000278 0.000487 0.000795